A climate Change Impacts in London Evaluation Study




НазваниеA climate Change Impacts in London Evaluation Study
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London’s warming


The Impacts of Climate Change on London - Technical Report


A High Profile Launch for London’s First

Climate Change Study


The Mayor of London Ken Livingstone and Environment Minister Michael Meacher launched London’s Warming on 24 October 2002.


The launch event was very successful, attracting a large number of people from a wide range of sectors. Many individuals attended who had not previously been involved in the Climate Impacts study but recognised that climate change is an issue that will become increasingly important in the years to come.


At the Launch the Environment Minister said “The UK is leading the way in identifying the effects which climate change will have on all parts of the country, including our capital city. Some climate change is now inevitable, so we are going to have to adapt.”


While the Mayor of London pointed out the particular issues that London will have to face, saying “The size of this city’s population means that there’s already huge pressure on our resources, so we have to plan properly and strategically to deal with these new demands. This report is the start of that process.”


If you want to be part of that process please contact the London Climate Change Partnership at climatechange@london.gov.uk.


London Climate Change Partnership

A Climate Change Impacts in London Evaluation Study

Final Report

November 2002



Acknowledgements

The London Climate Change Partnership, a group of stakeholders originally convened by the Government Office for London in July 2001, commissioned this work to take a first look at the impacts that climate change will have on our capital city. The members of the partnership are: The Greater London Authority (GLA), Government Office for London, the Association of London Government (ALG), the Housing Corporation, the Environment Agency, the Assocaition of British Insurers (ABI), the London Development Agency (LDA), Thames Water, the London Electricity Group, the Corporation of London, St. George Plc., Transport for London (TfL), UK Climate Impacts Programme (UKCIP), the London Sustainabiolity Exchange and the Thames Gateway Partnership. A more comprehensive list of organisations who have taken part in meetings related to this study can be found in Appendix A.


This study wsas carried out by a project consortium consisting of Entec UK Ltd, the Tyndall centre for Climate Change research, Meetroeconomica, Dr.Rob Wilby of King’s college London and Professor David Crichton, an independent consultant.


The main contributors were: Simon Clarke, Jim Kersey and Emily Trevorrow of Entec UK LTd.; Rob Wilby of King’s College, London; Simon Shackley, John Turnpenny and Andy Wright of the Tyndall Centre; Alistair Hunt of Metroeconomica; and David Crichton.

Contents

Note:

This RTF file does not include images such as figures and some tables, and the pagination differs from the printed document and PDF file.



Executive Summary xi

1.Background and Objectives 10

2.Climate Change – An Introduction 13

3.Introduction 16

4.Introduction 37

4.1 Global Climate Projections 37

5.Introduction 54

5.1Context 54

5.2Context 56

5.3Context 59

5.4Context 64

5.5Context 70

6.Introduction 88

6.1Context 102

6.2Context 108

6.3Context 115

6.4Context 116

6.5Context 122

6.6Context 124

6.7Context 130

6.8Context 131

6.9Context 134

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