1 New Approaches to Cold War: History and Current International Politics




Название1 New Approaches to Cold War: History and Current International Politics
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Conflict

Section: 12 - The Future of Armed Conflict, 12-1

Chair(s)

Magnus Öberg

Uppsala University

Violence, Control and Election Fraud: Evidence from Afghanistan
Michael Callen

University of California, San Diego

Nils B Weidmann

Princeton University

Foreign Aid and the Duration of Civil War

Andrea Ruggeri

University of Essex

Janus-Faced Democracy? Democratic Political Institutions and the Use of Force since the End of the Cold War

Patrick A Mello

Humboldt University Berlin

Democratization of Economic Competitors and Civil War Onset

Nils W Metternich

University of Essex

Are Economic Sanctions a Substitute for the Use of Force?

Clifton T. Morgan

Rice University

Glenn Palmer

Penn State University

Dan Zacarillo

Rice University

Discussant(s)

Hanne Fjelde

Uppsala University

---------------------------

Slot: TB-82 Thursday 11:15 AM - 1:00 PM

Room: 353

Resources, the Environment, and Conflict

Section: 12 - The Future of Armed Conflict, 12-2


Chair(s)

Halvard Buhaug

University of Oslo

Climate Changes, Climate-related Natural Disasters and Violence in India

Rune T. Slettebak

Norwegian University of Science and Technology

Land Ownership and Conflicts in Nigeria: Understanding the Oil-fuelled Grievance and Greed in the Niger-delta

Ndubuisi Ndubechukwu Nwokolo

University of Birmingham

The Bottom Billion and Climate Change

Nils Petter Gleditsch

University of Oslo

Halvard Buhaug

University of Oslo

Locating Climate Insecurity: Where Are the Vulnerable Places in Africa?

Joshua W Busby

Strauss Center, University of Texas-Austin

Todd G. Smith

Strauss Center, UT-Austin

Shawn M. Strange

Community and Regional Planning, UT-Austin

Kaiba White

Strauss Center, UT-Austin

Climate Change, Environmental Stress and Armed Conflict in Sub-saharan Africa - A Dissaggregated Analysis Using the New UCDP Geocoded Events Dataset

NN

Ralph Sundberg

Uppsala University

Discussant(s)

Michael Brzoska

University of Hamburg

---------------------------

Slot: TD-83 Thursday 4:15 PM - 6:00 PM

Room: 353

Microfoundations of Conflict I

Section: 12 - The Future of Armed Conflict, 12-3

Chair(s)

Nils B Weidmann

Princeton University


Explaining Regional (In)security and Armed Conflicts:

Contextualization and Deconstruction of Political Violence in the North Caucasus

Jean-François Ratelle

University of Ottawa

Transnational Dynamics of Civil War

Jeffrey T. Checkel

Simon Fraser University

A Local Level Analysis of Violence and Intervention in the Bosnian civil war

Stefano Costalli

Catholic University of the Sacred Heart

Francesco N. Moro

University of Florence

Going Transnational” – The Activities of Transnational Rebels in Neighbouring Countries

Michael D. Fürstenberg

Technical University of Braunschweig

Building Indigenous Security Forces for Counterinsurgency in

Divided Societies

Florian Wätzel

University of Kiel

Discussant(s)

Lars-Erik Cederman

ETH Zurich

---------------------------

Slot: FA-84 Friday 9:00 AM - 10:45 AM

Room: 353

Microfoundations of Conflict II

Section: 12 - The Future of Armed Conflict, 12-4

Chair(s)

Indra de Soysa

Norwegian University of Science and Technology

Slaughtering or Fighting? The Organizational Roots of Political

Violence

Gerald Schneider

University of Konstanz

Religion and Violent Conflict in Sub-Saharan Africa, 1990 to 2008 – Results from a New Database

Matthias Basedau

German Institute of Global and Area Studies

Johannes Vüllers

German Institute of Global and Area Studies


"Sons-of-the-soil" and Local Insurgencies: Assessing the Impact of Migration on Civil Conflicts in Northeast India Using the UCDP Geo-coded Events Dataset, 1989-2008

Erika Forsberg

Uppsala University

Sons of the Soil’ or System Dynamics? Why some Civil Wars last longer than Others

Indra de Soysa

Norwegian University of Science and Technology

Horizontal Inequalities and Ethno-Nationalist Civil War: A Global Comparison

Lars-Erik Cederman

ETH Zurich

Kristian Skrede Gleditsch

University of Essex

Nils B Weidmann

Princeton University

Discussant(s)

Håvard Hegre

University of Oslo

---------------------------

Slot: FB-85 Friday 11:15 AM - 1:00 PM

Room: 353

Non-State Actors in Conflict

Section: 12 - The Future of Armed Conflict, 12-5

Chair(s)

Gerald Schneider

University of Konstanz

Los Zetas: The most Dangerous Non State Actor in the Mexican Drug War

César G Arias

Phalti Murillo Ramírez

Universidad de Guadalajara

Mediation in Civil Wars and Leadership Changes in Rebel Groups
Carmela Lutmar

University of Haifa

Lesley Terris

Interdisciplinary Center Hertzlya

Arms Acquisition Methods by Non-State Actors and the Dynamics of Intrastate Armed Conflict

Nils Duquet

Flemish Peace Institute


Highly Structured Intergovernmental Organizations and Civil War
Johannes Karreth

University of Georgia

Jaroslav Tir

University of Georgia

Discussant(s)

Margit Bussmann

University of Greifswald

---------------------------

Slot: FC-86 Friday 2:00 PM - 3:45 PM

Room: 353

Civilian Casualties in Conflict

Section: 12 - The Future of Armed Conflict, 12-6

Chair(s)

Lisa Hultman

Swedish National Defence College

A Porous Humanitarian Shield: The Laws of War, the Red Cross, and the Killing of Civilians

Margit Bussmann

University of Greifswald

Gerald Schneider

University of Konstanz

Killing Civilians in Civil War: Testing Competing Theories with Geo-referenced Data

Lisa Hultman

Swedish National Defence College

Hanne Fjelde

Uppsala University

Civil War and Child Health

Christin M Ormhaug

Noragric/CSCW

Responsibility to Protect’ and the UN Engagement of Non-State Actors

John E. Karlsrud

University of Warwick

Discussant(s)

Kristine Eck

Uppsala University

---------------------------

Slot: FD-87 Friday 4:15 PM - 6:00 PM

Room: 353

Public Opinion and Political Violence

Section: 12 - The Future of Armed Conflict, 12-7


Chair(s)

Ola Listhaug

Norwegian University of Science and Technology

Demography of Civil War Violence and Its Consequences: Cross-National Analyses of Victims’ Voices

Megumi Nishimura

Ritsumeikan University

Polyarchy in Anarchy: Institutions of Political Competition and

Participation, and the Initiation and Escalation of International Conflict

Benjamin E Goldsmith

University of Sydney

Pre- and Postwar Attitudes towards Ethnic Exclusionism in the

Balkans: A Comparison

Karin Dyrstad

Norwegian University of Science and Technology (NTNU); Centre for

the study of Civil war, PRIO

Discussant(s)

NN

---------------------------

Slot: SA-88 Saturday 9:00 AM - 10:45 AM

Room: 353

Conflict Prediction

Section: 12 - The Future of Armed Conflict, 12-8

Chair(s)

Kristian Skrede Gleditsch

University of Essex

A Methodology for the Calculation of the Global Economic Costs of Conflict

Olaf J. De Groot

German Institute for Economic Research (DIW)

The Value of Causal Complexity for Conflict Prediction

Eelco van der Maat

University of Rotterdam

Contentious Issues and Forecasting Interstate Disputes

Kristian Skrede Gleditsch

University of Essex

Michael D Ward

Duke University


Evaluating the Conflict-Reducing Effect of UN Peace-Keeping

Operations

Håvard Hegre

University of Oslo

Lisa Hultman

Swedish National Defence College

Håvard Nygård

University of Oslo

Discussant(s)

NN

---------------------------

Slot: SB-89 Saturday 11:15 AM - 1:00 PM

Room: 353

Building Sustainable Peace I

Section: 12 - The Future of Armed Conflict, 12-9

Chair(s)

Mimmi Söderberg Kovacs

Uppsala University

Reconciliation after Terrorism: Reconciling the Irreconcilable?

Alexander Spencer

University of Munich

Judith Renner

University of Munich

Post-War Elections and Violence in West Africa

Mimmi Söderberg Kovacs

Uppsala University

As Above so Below? A Multilevel Analysis of DDR in Somalia

Gerald Schneider

University of Konstanz

Lilli Banholzer

University of Konstanz

Ethnicity, Power-Sharing and Civil War Recurrence: A

Disaggregated and Dynamic Perspective

Julian Wucherpfennig

ETH Zürich

Remobilizers and Relationships: Why Ex-Combatants Return to Violence

Anders Nilsson

Uppsala University

Discussant(s)

NN

---------------------------

Slot: SC-90 Saturday 2:00 PM - 3:45 PM

Room: 353

Building Sustainable Peace II

Section: 12 - The Future of Armed Conflict, 12-10

Chair(s)

NN

Peacemaking in a post-colonial Environment: Ambiguity and

Contradictions of the International Community in Cote d’Ivoire

Giulia Piccolino

University of Florence

Revenge and Peaceful Change

Resat Bayer

Koc University

Between Peace-Building and Peace-Making: Assessing European Union’s Role in Middle East Peace Process and Prospects for Future
Sujata A. Cheema

Jamia Millia Islamia University

The Curse of Victory

Joakim Kreutz

Uppsala University

Peacekeeping and the Diffusion of Armed Conflict across Space and Time

Kyle Beardsley

Emory University

Discussant(s)

Han Dorussen

University of Essex

Section: 13 - Challenges of Democracy
Promotion:


Do all good things go together?


Convenors:

Sonja Grimm, University of Konstanz

Solveig Richter, German Institute for International and Security Affairs

---------------------------

Slot: TA-96 Thursday 9:00 AM - 10:45 AM

Room: 356

Democracy Promotion in Theoretical and

Comparative Perspective

Section: 13 - Challenges of Democracy Promotion:

Do all good things go together?, 13-6

Chair(s)

Tina M. Freyburg

ETH Zurich

Democracy Promotion as a Conceptual Problem

Hans Agné

Stockholm University

The Promotion of Democracy in Indian Foreign Policy

Christian Wagner

German Institute for International and Security Affairs

A Confused Liberal Actor? Conceptual Contradictions in EU

Democracy Promotion

Milja H Kurki

Aberystwyth University

Democratizing Power Europe? EU Strategies of Democracy

Promotion and International Politics in post-socialist Europe

Irene E Hahn

European University Viadrina of Frankfurt / Oder

The ‘Winner´s Paradox’: Democracy Promotion between

Universalism and Particularity

Jessica Schmidt

London University of Westminster

Discussant(s)

Ulrich Schneckener

University of Osnabrück

---------------------------

Slot: TB-92 Thursday 11:15 AM - 1:00 PM

Room: 356

Democracy Promotion vs. Peace Building

Section: 13 - Challenges of Democracy Promotion:

Do all good things go together?, 13-2

Chair(s)

Sonja S. Grimm

University of Konstanz


Liberal Democratic Peace Durability in Post-Conflict Societies:

What Role for Decision-Making Autonomy and Grassroots

Peacebuilding?

Elena B. Stavrevska

Central European University of Budapest

Stability vs. Institution-Building – a Tradeoff for International

Democracy Promoters in Kosovo (1999-2005)

Andreas Ernst

University of Zurich

How to put the Fragments together? Balancing Peacebuilding and Democratization in the Field of (Re-)Integration

Judith Vorrath

ETH Zurich

The Perils of Power-Sharing Arrangements in the Transition from Civil War to Peace and Democracy

Jai Kwan Jung

George Washington University

Peacebuilders’ Leverage and Mission Intrusiveness in Post-Conflict Democratization Processes

Nora Roehner

Free University Berlin

Discussant(s)

Anna Jarstad

Uppsala University

---------------------------

Slot: TD-95 Thursday 4:15 PM - 6:00 PM

Room: 356

Democracy Promotion vs. Functional
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